Showing posts with label World News. Show all posts
Showing posts with label World News. Show all posts

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Asthma Sufferers Should Avoid High-Fat Diet

High-fat diets are bad for the arteries and the waistline, but new research shows it is also bad for those suffering with asthma. Food that are heavy and high in fat have a double whammy effect on asthmatics by causing inflammation of the airway and inhibiting their response to albuterol, a common asthma medication.

According to the Center for Disease Control, the prevalence of asthma increased by approximately 75 percent between the years of 1980 and 1994. Approximately 300 million people around the world are estimated to suffer from asthma, an the World Health Organization projects that this number will grow to approximately 400 million by the year 2025. Finding out the triggers for asthma is important, as are new therapies.

Australian researchers with the University of Newcastle presented evidence this weekend at a health conference in New Orleans that high-fat foods play a role in airway inflammation. Asthma occurs when the lungs become inflamed and constricted. When the airway is also inflamed, there is a significant impact on already difficult breathing conditions.

Typical asthma irritants include: cold air, tobacco smoke or other irritating inhalants, emotional stress, infections, some medications, and indigestion with stomach acid. Hamburgers and fries can probably be added to the list, as well as a whole host of other unhealthy foods.

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Gold trading within tight range around $1238

The gold contract for June delivery has been trading within a tight range around $1238.00 a troy ounce since open, after leading to new all-time highs above $1245 just a session prior. Currently the yellow metal trades at $1237.70, just below the opening price.

Gold peaked at a fresh high yesterday on continued safe-haven appeal due to the failure of the EU/IMF bailout package to fully assuage investor’s euro zone debt worries. Today jitters seem to be easing slightly as equity markets are on the rise, however still investors are not parting from safer alternatives like gold and US treasuries due to the need for diversification.

Oil N’ Gold places the next resistance levels at $1252.47 and $1261.83. On the downside , the next support levels are listed at $1230.47 and $1217.83.


Stock futures point to losses on Wall Street

US stock futures are signaling modest losses on Wall Street, as jitters over euro zone debt have not relinquished fully. The NASDAQ is off the most at -0.37%, while the S&P and DOW trail close at -0.23% and -0.11% respectively.

Equity markets closed out higher yesterday after Spain announced fresh austerity measures in an effort to keep debt speculators at by. The move eased fears over euro zone sovereign debt, however investors seem to remain skeptical on the gargantuan EU/IMF bailout package which focuses on the issue of liquidity, but seems to fall short when it comes to solvency.

Today investors will be on the lookout for first quarter corporate earnings by Nordstrom, Kohls, Select Medical Corporation and more. Furthermore, the US Department of Labor will be releasing initial and continuing jobless claims which should give further signals to the robustness of a US recovery.

Sunday, May 2, 2010

Euroland: PMI signals rebound on track

Details

Euroland Manufacturing flash PMI increased from 52.4 to 54.1 in February thus beating expectations (consensus 52.6, Danske 52.7) while service PMI declined to 52.0 from 52.5 (Consensus 52.5, Danske 52.6). Manufacturing PMI is now at the highest level since August 2007.

Composite new orders were flat at 53.6, but manufacturing new orders increased slightly from 56.0 to 56.5 and manufacturing new export orders increased strongly from 53.8 to 56.0 – the highest level since December 2006.


Inventories of finished goods increased slightly from 44.5 to 44.9 and inventories of stocks purchases were almost unchanged – up from 45.4 to 45.5. The order-inventory balance is thus coming down indicating that the pull from the inventory cycle is slowing.
Employment expectations increased strongly driven by a jump in manufacturing employment expectations from 43.9 to 47.0 and a moderate increase in service sector employment expectations from 47.5 to 48.4. The composite index is now at the highest level since September 2008.

German composite PMI increased from 54.2 to 55.4 and German manufacturing PMI increased massively to 57.1 from 53.4. This is a very comforting indication that the German rebound is still on track despite the lack of growth in Q4. The manufacturing subcomponents show that new orders and in particular new export orders increased strongly while stocks where almost unchanged. German service PMI increased from 51.2 to 51.7. German manufacturing sector employment expectations spiked from 42.1 to 47.3. Composite PMI indicates a stable German labour market.

French PMI composite index fell to 55.7 from 58.0 previously. This is the lowest level in five months, but still signalling strong growth. Manufacturing PMI fell from 55.4 to 54.6 and service PMI fell from 56.3 to 54.7. New manufacturing orders declined from 58.8 to 55.1 – the lowest level since August last year. New export orders increased slightly. At the same time the indices for stocks of both purchases and finished goods increased notably, thus the prospects of a growth contribution from the inventory cycle are diminishing. Employment expectations in the manufacturing sector improved from 46.4 to 49.3 and are thus very close to signalling a labour market stabilisation in France.

Assessment and expectations

This is comforting reading. The European rebound remains on track despite the disappointing Q4 GDP data. New orders currently indicate growth of about 2% q/q annualised in Q1 10. German manufacturing PMI looks particularly strong now. It finally overtook French manufacturing PMI as we have been waiting for. This makes a lot of sense as the German manufacturing sector would benefit the most from a strong rebound in global trade.

There are signs that we have seen the better part of the growth contribution from the end of inventory reduction. Luckily the export engine is still at full speed. This should be enough to get domestic demand on the move and initiate the more sustainable recovery that we are all waiting for. It is essential that we see a recovery in private demand materialise before fiscal tightening kicks in. Otherwise we are about to see a very slow recovery in Euroland. In this regard it is very comforting that the employment expectations index increased from 46.2 to 47.8 – thus not very far away from indicating labour market stabilisation.

The new orders index continues to signal ECB on hold but skewed toward rate hikes. We expect that the ECB to deliver a first hike in November. This is somewhat later than we had previously communicated (August 2010). The implementation of the ECB exit strategy is also likely to be gradual with the ECB keeping full allotment in place at all auctions in Q3.

Composite PMI now signals that unemployment should be in decline by almost 0.1pp per quarter. The employment index, which tends to be a lagging indicator, is more downbeat as it signals a 0.2pp increase in the unemployment rate per quarter. We believe that the truth is somewhere in between – i.e. we are close to a labour market stabilisation.
PMI new orders indicate that the two-year government bond yield spread to the refi rate is 0.5pp too low. This gap is unlikely to close quickly, but we expect to see two-year rates increase about 30bp on a three-month horizon.

Looking forward we expect to see further increases in PMI, but the picture has become more mixed. The order-inventory balance still signals that PMI has some upward potential as does the OECD leading indicator. Our PMI model, on the other hand, signals that we do not have much further to go.

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